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After Third Debate, Nate Silver Predicts Hillary Clinton Will Be President

Data journalist and founder of FiveThirtyEight.com, who famously predicted the 2008 U.S. presidential election, believes Trump is toast.

The Late Show with Stephen Colbert

Nate Silver sat down with Stephen Colbert on the 'Late Show' to discuss the ramifications of the third and final presidential debate on the race for president.  When asked what impact the debate will likely have, Silver, who is editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight, answered with a sports metaphor, “it's as though she was already 10 points ahead in a football game and Trump just threw a pick-six.” 

When asked to clarify what that actually means, Silver explained that Trump "only about 38 percent of the vote and Clinton has 45 percent of the vote. and while there are some undecideds left, I don't think he did a good job of persuading them tonight."

These undecided voters, Sivler continued, "are people who don't like either candidate. "I mean, there's this guy named Evan McMullin in Utah, who is literally someone no one ever heard of, and he's now leading in some polls of Utah."

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Colbert went on to push Silver on the big news from the debate, Trump's unwillingness to pledge to accept the results of the election, to which Silver responded he believes Trump will fade from public life: "Look, even Al Gore, John Kerry, Mitt Romney, who all lost the election by relatively narrow margins, probably narrower than Trump did, they all stood down and people really didn't want to hear from them in anything but a gracious way. Trump has 35 percent of the country that will believe everything he says, but people do get sick and tired of hearing the same act again and again and again."