Analysis

New York Emerges Defiant After ISIS-style Truck Attack, but Questions Remain

After another Internet-inspired lone wolf carries out a deadly attack in a crowded city center, the same questions Israel and Europe have been facing come to the fore: Can such an attack ever be fully prepared for?

Police stand by as they continue to secure the scene along a bike path after a motorist drove onto the path near the World Trade Center memorial, striking and killing several people Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2017, in New York.
Craig Ruttle/AP

The images of New Yorkers undeterred by a murderous terror attack hours earlier, defiantly heading into the street Tuesday night to enjoy the citys Halloween parade and take their children trick-or-treating showed the world a radically different city than the one that was so badly shaken on September 11, 2001.

But it wasnt only the reaction that was very different. The type of attack New Yorkers were coping with, and the background of the alleged attacker bore the classic hallmarks of 2017-style terrorism: the individual identified by news outlets as having been behind the wheel of the Home Depot truck that rammed into a crowd, killing eight, 29-year-old Saifullah Saipov appears to have been another Internet-inspired lone wolf.

>> Terror hits New York: 8 killed in Manhattan truck-ramming attack

The Uzbeki immigrants method of attack - a deliberate car-ramming -  made its debut on the world stage in Israel, and has since spread across Europe, from the Berlin Christmas Market to Paris's Champs DElysee to Londons Westminster Bridge. It even resembled the European attacks in spirit - hitting New York just as masses of people were out in the street celebrating a holiday. Celebrations are both opportunities to find crowded areas and, presumably, from the attacker's perspective, send a more chilling message.  

Just as in Europe, the latest attack is sure to reawaken debates about immigration, though it will not necessarily help strengthen President Donald Trumps case for his travel ban. Like the brothers who detonated bombs at the Boston marathon, Dzhokhar and Tamerlan Tsarnaev, the New York suspect appears to be a Muslim immigrant from a former Soviet Republic, and even the tightest restrictions on immigrants from the Middle East and Africa would not have prevented him from entering the country.

Saifullah Saipov, the suspected driver who killed eight people in New York on October 31, 2017.
ST. CHARLES COUNTY POLICE DEPART

He was also reportedly a legal immigrant, an employed truck driver holding a Green Card, with no record of criminal activity.

The assumption that the attack was ISIS-inspired reached as far as the White House. Shortly after news of the attack broke, President Trump tweeted a defiant anti-ISIS message and calling him a sick and deranged person.

The fact that Trump was quick to call the attack terrorism did not go unnoticed by his critics on social media, who pointed to a double standard when it came to condemnation of perpetrators of violence.

As in previous car-ramming attacks by lone wolf attackers, Tuesday's attack sparked widespread debate as to how law enforcement could do more to prevent a form of terror that was nearly devoid of warning sign. The perpetrator did not purchase weapons or bomb-making equipment, and as far as is currently known, was unknown to authorities as belonging to any organized terrorist group. Instead, he has been described by those who knew him as a friendly individual who showed no signs of religious or political extremism.

Even recent law enforcement measures designed to prevent suspicious individuals from renting trucks to foil such attacks seems as if it would be unlikely to have stopped Saipov. He possessed a truck drivers license and had been employed as a driver, a fact that would have made his rental appear routine and avoid any suspicion.

>> Concrete barriers on the street: facing terror wave, London adopts Israeli-style measures after car-ramming attack

As happened following recent attacks on pedestrian malls, bridges, and bike paths - both in the U.S. and in Europe - a change in lower Manhattan's landscape is now likely to occur. Just as barriers quickly went up on Londons bridges after the latest attack, and Times Square was reinforced with concrete after an intoxicated driver plowed into a crowd in May, the bicycle path in lower Manhattan where the latest attack took place will likely see the erection of vehicle-barring concrete barriers.

And beyond New York - across the world, those planning urban spaces will think twice before they create spaces where crowds of pedestrians will gather in spaces that cars and trucks can access. And when special events and festivals take places, they are more likely to be ringed by a wall of security and barricades - just as they are in Israel and across the Middle East. Unfortunately, as the Middle East has already learned, even the greatest degree of expertise and highest levels of public vigilance can minimize terror - but simply cant eliminate it completely.