Is a Second American Civil War Likely? 31% of Americans Think So

A Rasmussen Reports poll finds that nearly a third of Americans believe a second civil war is likely in the next five years. 11% believe it is very likely

White nationalists carry torches on the grounds of the University of Virginia, U.S. August 11, 2017.
STRINGER/ REUTERS

Thirty-one percent of American likely voters believe another civil war is likely in the next five years, while eleven percent believe it is very likely, according to a Rasmussen poll.

Over half of reponsdents said they are concerned that political violence is likely from opponents of President Donald Trump's policies.

The poll was conducted by Rasmussen Reports, a right-leaning public polling group. The poll was conducted over the telephone and online on 1000 Likely Voters, with a three-percent margin of error. The survey was conducted between June 21 and June 24, 2018.  

They found that 37 percent of Democrats believed that a civil was likely, compared to 32 percent of Republicans. Only 26 percent of voters of no political affiliation believed that a civil war was likely.

Women and those under the age of 40 are more concerned about the threat of war, in comparison to men and older voters. 44 percent of blacks are worried about a civil war, compared to 28 percent of whites and 36 percent of other minority voters. Whites are also less concerned by political violence than people of other ethnicities.

59 percent of all voters were worried that people opposing Donald Trump's policies would resort to violence, and 33 percent are very concerned. This was higher than the poll conducted during the second year of President Obama's presidency, which found that 53 percent of respondents were concerned about violence from opponents of the president's policies.