2020 Dems: Bernie Leads, Biden Tumbles and Bloomberg Surges in New National Poll

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Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at a rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa, November 8, 2019.
Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at a rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa, November 8, 2019.Credit: SCOTT MORGAN/Reuters

Support for former Vice President Joe Biden's U.S. presidential bid has tumbled nationally following a lackluster finish in last week’s Iowa caucuses, while interest is surging among Democrats and independents for the upstart candidacy of billionaire media mogul Michael Bloomberg, according to a Reuters/Ipsos public opinion poll released on Monday.

The Feb. 6-10 poll found that 17% of registered Democrats and independents said they would vote for Biden, down five percentage points from a similar poll that ran last week before Iowa held its first-in-the-nation nominating contest.

U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders led other candidates in the poll with 20% support, up one point from last week, while 15% supported Bloomberg, an increase of six points.

Another 11% backed U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren, 8% supported former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, 5% said they would vote for New York businessman Andrew Yang and 3% supported U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar.

The poll underscores what has been a steady decline in support for Biden, who until recently was considered the favorite to win the highly contested race for the party's nomination.

Biden's primary appeal to voters has been his claim to be the most electable of all of the candidates. Yet he finished in fourth place in Iowa, behind Sanders, Buttigieg and Warren. And the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that Democrats and independents are now just as likely to believe that Sanders can win the White House in the Nov. 3 election as they are Biden.

When asked which candidate was "most likely to beat President Trump," 21% picked Biden, which is down nine points from last week. Another 21% said Sanders had the best chances to win, and 15% said it was Bloomberg.

Bloomberg, who has not participated in the nationally televised debates and will not be on the ballot in many of the early statewide nominating contests, has instead banked his candidacy on his comparatively strong name recognition and millions of dollars of personal expenditures into campaign advertising.

The poll found that Bloomberg would beat Trump by four points among registered U.S. voters if the two were running against each other in November's presidential election. In comparison, Sanders also would beat Trump by four points and Biden would beat Trump by two points.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 952 registered voters, including 556 who identified as Democrats or independents. The poll has a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of about five percentage points. 

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