Biden Holds Big Lead Over Trump With Florida, Pennsylvania Jews, Poll Shows

Amir Tibon
Amir Tibon
Joe Biden delivers remarks at a voter mobilization event at Riverside High School in Durham, North Carolina, October 18, 2020.
Joe Biden delivers remarks at a voter mobilization event at Riverside High School in Durham, North Carolina, October 18, 2020.Credit: TOM BRENNER/ REUTERS
Amir Tibon
Amir Tibon

A new poll of Jewish American voters in the swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania shows former Vice President Joe Biden holding a significant lead over President Donald Trump, with less than two weeks until Election Day.

The figures are in line with nationwide polling that shows Biden defeating Trump by a wide margin among Jewish voters.

On Wednesday, the progressive Jewish group J Street released two polls of Jewish voters in the battleground states. In Florida, 73 percent of respondents said they were voting for Biden and 22 percent said they were voting for Trump. In Pennsylvania, 75 percent said they were voting for Biden and 22 percent said they were voting for Trump.

Only one percent of respondents in both states said they were undecided.

The results are nearly identical to a national poll of more than 1,300 Jewish voters, released by the American Jewish Committee earlier this week, in which Biden won the support of three quarters of respondents.

Florida and Pennsylvania have a large concentration of Jewish voters and are considered likely tipping-point states that will determine the results on November 3. Although Jews make up just two percent of the U.S. population, the Jewish vote could be electorally valuable in these two battleground states, where Trump carried by a margin of just one percent or less in 2016.

Biden enjoys a massive advantage over Trump among the survey respondents over the question of who would better handle COVID-19, as well as on the issue of combatting antisemitism in the United States and keeping Jewish communities safe.

Biden enjoys overwhelming support among reform, conservative and secular Jews in both states, while Trump has a significant lead among Orthodox voters in Florida. In Pennsylvania, where a larger share of the respondents identified as Orthodox, Biden held a slim, 3 percent lead within that group.

The state polls also included policy questions related to Israel, with 89 percent of respondents in Florida and 87 percent in Pennsylvania answering that “someone can be critical of Israeli government policies and still be pro-Israel.”

The polls were conducted last week by GBAO Strategies (which has a B/C ranking from the polling aggregator 538.com) and included phone interviews with 600 voters in Florida and 710 voters in Pennsylvania.

A polling memo published by GBAO emphasized that the two states “show remarkable similarity among Jewish attitudes across a range of measures, including their issue priorities and which candidate does a better job on different issues.”

In both states, the memo noted, the number one priority for Jewish voters is tackling the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by the economy and healthcare. Israel, the memo noted, “ranks toward the bottom of voters’ priorities.”

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