Realistically speaking, all hope is lost for opponents of the occupation and apartheid. The data from the election survey among young voters, which were recently publicized on the Friday evening “Ulpan Shishi” TV news magazine, leave no room for doubt. Among voters aged 18 to 22, 70 percent define themselves as center-right or right-wing; 46 percent are all-out right-wing. For the sake of comparison, only 10 percent describe themselves as left-wing.
The young people give the Benjamin Netanyahu bloc 71 seats. On their chart of Knesset seats, Religious Zionism, the party of kahanist lawmaker Itamar Ben-Gvir and far-right lawmaker Bezalel Smotrich, is the second-largest party, with 14 seats. That’s more than Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, whose strength is reduced by half. Meretz belongs to the past, and doesn’t even cross the electoral threshold of 3.25 percent of votes. The Labor Party is wavering on this threshold, with a paltry four seats.
The political tie has been broken in this population group. These young people are Israel’s real future. Unlike Yesh Atid, whose future is in name only (Yesh Atid means There Is a Future in Hebrew). Among the young voters, 52 percent think Netanyahu is most deserving of being prime minister, Lapid receives only 17 percent. There are more ultra-Orthodox among the young people: 16 percent, compared to 10 percent in the general population. Accordingly, United Torah Judaism receives 12 seats from them, Shas 11.
Only 7 percent of the young people are disturbed most of all by the failure to solve the conflict with the Palestinians; 36 percent of those born to parents who vote for the center-left will vote right, and only 18 percent of those born to parents who vote right-wing will vote for the center-left. These figures clearly lean to the right, and are unequivocal.
Do you think, blind leftists who hide your heads in the sand, that your difficulty in deciding between Zehava Galon and Yair Golan, and between Meretz and Labor, will really change Israel’s future? You are divorced from reality to a degree that endangers your lives. Because you’re gambling on a future that you simply don’t have. Therefore, I am offering you, blind leftists, an accelerated course in clear facts.
You, your children and your grandchildren are expected to leave the country en masse. Start getting organized before you are forced to do so in panic. Benighted anti-democratic forces, ultra-nationalists who are extremist, racist and religious, who despise liberals like you and for the most part are poorer than you and hate your money, will rule in this country for many years.
Even Galon’s return to Meretz won’t change that. Nothing will change it. Not Netanyahu’s trial, not more riots in the mixed Arab-Jewish cities, not waves of terror attacks and not housing prices. Everything will only reinforce the rising fascism. And so will demographics. You will leave, because you have nothing to look for here. Not a future, not a home, and not a sense of partnership in a national enterprise with whose goals and values you identify. The only thing that awaits you in Israel is alienation, foreignness, a sense of profound shame and despair.
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You’ve been defeated. It’s over. Even Galon (“I’m back. Meretz is back.”) is finished. Meretz is not back. It’s sinking into oblivion, together with Labor. Be realistic: You won’t be able to change the trend, not even a little. The viewpoint that I represent is not despair, it’s realism. A recognition of the reality instead of mistaken whims. It’s realpolitik. It’s the situation as it is, without any attempt to sugarcoat it. Without false hopes.
A recognition of the reality is the first and essential condition for effective political action. And yes, sometimes there is no choice. Sometimes exile is the only effective political action. We must return to exile. We, opponents of occupation and apartheid, must understand that the Israeli occupation can be broken, if at all, only from the outside. With the help of the White House and Europe. Here there’s no chance. That’s the reality.