Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid Pulls Further Ahead of Netanyahu's Likud in Latest Poll

According to a Channel 1 poll, Yesh Atid would receive 27 Knesset seats if elections were held today, while the ruling Likud would receive only 23 seats, compared to its current 30.

Ofer Vaknin

Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid continues to grow stronger in a new poll that predicts that if elections were held today, the party would receive 27 Knesset seats, while the ruling Likud would go down from its present 30 seats to only 23.

The poll, conducted by the Geocartography Institute, was published on Channel 1's "Yoman" show on Friday.

According to the poll, the Joint List would receive 13 seats. Habayit Hayehudi, led by Education Minister Naftali Bennett, would receive 11 seats, more than its current eight seats. The Zionist Union plummeted to 11 seats compared to its current 24 seats. Yisrael Beiteinu, headed by Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, would receive nine seats, as would United Torah Judaism. Meretz would also grow, receiving seven seats, two more than it currently has. Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu would be on the decline, receiving six seats instead of its current 10. Shas would also lose seats, downsizing from seven seats to four.

Last week, Channel 2 News published a different poll indicating that for the first time, Yesh Atid is the largest political party in Israel. According to the poll, if elections were held in Israel today, Lapid's party would receive 24 seats. The Likud would lose about a quarter of its voters, gaining only 22 seats, and Habayit Hayehudi would be the third-largest party, with 14 seats.

The poll showed that the Zionist Union would receive 13 seats, as would the Joint List. They would be followed by Yisrael Beiteinu (10), United Torah Judaism (7), Shas (6), Kulanu (6) and Meretz (5).

The poll, conducted by Dr. Mina Tzemach and Meno Geva of the Midgam research institute, together with iPanel, shows that since the previous election, about half of the Zionist Union's voters moved to support Yesh Atid.

However, even if the poll is accurate, its results don’t guarantee that Lapid would head the government. The Likud, the poll shows, lost some of its strength to Yisrael Beiteinu and Habayit Hayehudi. The report also noted that an internal survey conducted by Yesh Atid reached similar results to the Channel 2 poll.  

The Likud party posted a response to the poll on its Facebook page. "There is no reason to get excited about the poll published by Channel 2 this evening," the Likud announced on Tuesday. "We all remember that they forecast 18 seats for the Likud in the last elections, and we saw what the result was."