Right-wing Joint Slate Led by Shaked Would Be Third Largest in Knesset, Polls Show

Both Kahol Lavan and Likud projected to lose seats to smaller parties in September

Ayelet Shaked at a press conference announcing that she will lead Hayamin Hehadash, Ramat Gan, July 21, 2019.
\ Moti Milrod

A coalition of prominent Israeli right-wing parties led by former Justice Minister Ayelet Shaked would receive 12 to 13 Knesset seats after the September 17 election, setting it to become the third largest party in parliament, polls published by Israeli media on Sunday project.

Channel 12 News and Kan public broadcaster published opinion polls after Shaked formally announced that she would lead Hayamin Hehadash, the party she co-founded with Naftali Bennett.

Their party is projected six to eight seats, according to the polls, but amid speculations over a possible team-up with the far-right Union of Right-Wing Parties, polls suggest a joint run would possibly garner the larger coalition more Knesset seats than their number of seats combined, should they run in two separate slates.

The Kan poll projected the Union of Right-Wing Parties would get four seats, while according to the Channel 12 one, it would get five.

Likud, which currently holds 39 out of 120 Knesset seats following its merger with Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu, is projected to win 30 seats in the September election, while the main opposition party Kahol Lavan would garner 29 seats, the Channel 12 poll predicts.

According to the Kan poll, Likud is neck and neck with Kahol Lavan, with both projected to win 30 seats. Should Hayamin Hehadash and the Union of Right-Wing Parties run on a joint ticket, Likud is projected 28 seats and Kahol Lavan 29.

Both major parties are projected to lose some seats to smaller parties, but former Prime Minister Ehud Barak's Democratic Israel, which was seen by some on the left as a potential game-changer, is projected merely four Knesset seats by Channel 12, while Kan says it would not even pass the 3.25-percent electoral threshold.

According to the polls, the Labor Party would earn seven to eight Knesset seats following its recently-announced joint run with Gesher's Orli Levi-Abekasis, one to two seats more than it generated in April's election.

Should the Joint List, a coalition of Arab-majority parties, run on a joint ticket, it would receive 10 to 11 seats, the polls suggest, while Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu would garner nine to 10 seats.

The ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism party is meanwhile projected to receive eight seats, whereas Shas is projected to seven, according to both polls.

Left-wing Meretz is projected to receive four to five Knesset seats.

The Channel 12 News survey was conducted by the Midgam Institute and IPanel on July 21, 2019, among 502 respondents in a nation-wide, representative sample of the population age 18 and over. Margin of error: 4.4 percent.

The Kan survey was conducted online by the Kantar Institute on July 21, 2019, among 546 out of a pool of 1,635 respondents, representative sample of the population age 18 and over. Margin of error: 4.3 percent.