Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing bloc would win 66 Knesset seats, with Israel's center-left parties taking 54, Channel 13 said in a poll released Friday, the last one allowed by law before Tuesday's election.
Sixty-six of the Knesset's 120 seats is the best showing by right-wing parties in Channel 13's last three polls.
The poll gave 11 seats to the Labor Party, down from 14 in the channel's previous poll. This time, right-wing Yisrael Beiteinu is projected to cross the 3.25-percent electoral threshold and enter the Knesset with four seats.
The other parties were little changed: the Union of Right-Wing Parties at seven seats; right-wing Hayamin Hehadash, ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism, far-right Zehut and largely Arab Hadash-Ta'al at six; ultra-Orthodox party Shas and left-wing Meretz at five; and center-right Kulanu and United Arab List-Balad at four.
A poll published earlier Friday by the daily Yedioth Ahronoth showed Kahol Lavan with a four-seat lead over Likud, though the right-wing bloc still led overall.
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Despite Gantz's 30-to-26 lead over Likud in Yedioth's poll, the former military chief of staff would have a hard time forming a government. Netanyahu's base of ultra-Orthodox, right-wing and far-right parties would have 63 seats, while Kahol Lavan, center-left, left-wing and Arab parties would have 57.