Gantz Keeps Falling While Far-right Zehut Stabilizes, Poll Shows

For Kahol Lavan to form a coalition, it would need a lead of five to six Knesset seats over Netanyahu's Likud. As it stands, the slate maintains a lead of only three seats

Benny Gantz at a Kahol Lavan event in Beer Sheva, March 11, 2019.
Eliyahu Hershkovitz

A Channel 12 poll released Thursday shows that Benny Gantz and Yair Lapid's Kahol Lavan political alliance is still on the decline, echoing surveys conducted earlier in the week.

Since the last Channel 12 poll, Kahol Lavan has lost five seats, falling from 36 to 31, which shrinks the center-left bloc to 56 seats compared to the right wing's 64.

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For Kahol Lavan to form a coalition – even if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is recommended for the job by more people – it would need a lead of five to six Knesset seats over Netanyahu's Likud. As it stands, Kahol Lavan maintains a lead of only three seats.   

The poll also shows that if the elections were to take place today, six parties would teeter on the brink of the electoral threshold. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu, the United Arab List-Balad, Meretz, Moshe Feiglin's Zehut party and Naftali Bennet and Ayelet Shaked's Hayamin Hehadash would all make the minimum four seats needed to enter Knesset. Orli Levi-Abekasis's Gesher party once again has not met the threshold.

This is the first poll that shows Yisrael Beiteinu crossing the electoral threshold. The far-right Zehut party crossed it for the first time in last week's poll; some of its newfound success can be attributed to its support for marijuana legalization, which has gained it supporters from across the political spectrum.  

Besides Yisrael Beiteinu and Zehut, only two parties gained seats, each only rising by one. Since last week's polls the Israel Labor Party grew to 10 from 9 seats, and the Union of Right-Wing Parties rose from six to seven. 

The survey was completed before two major events occured on Thursday evening: Two missiles were launched from the Gaza Strip at Tel Aviv, and reports that Benny Gantz's cell phone was hacked by Iran