A Channel 13 election poll released Thursday evening shows Likud and Benny Gantz's Kahol Lavan tied each with a projected 31 seats. The Labor-Gesher union is projected to barely pass the electoral threshold, with five seats.
Both Likud and Kahol Lavan saw a rise in seats since the last Channel 13 poll, released two weeks ago. Likud gained one seat, and Kahol Lavan gained two – the most marked increase among parties in the current poll.
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Yamina, the newly-rebranded right-wing merger under the leadership of Ayelet Shaked, saw a one-seat increase since the last survey to win a projected 12 seats, making it the second largest party. Behind it is Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu, which saw no change since the last poll.
The Joint List of Arab parties saw the most significant downturn, backsliding from 11 seats – which had tied in the previous poll with Yamina and Yisrael Beiteinu for second-largest party – to nine. Left-wing joint slate Democratic Union fell by one seat from nine to eight.
Ultra-Orthodox parties United Torah Judaism and Shas remained at seven and six seats respectively. The Labor-Gesher fell by one seat, from six to five.
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Three far-right parties – the Kahanist Otzma Yehudit, the anti-LGBT Noam and Moshe Feiglin's Zehut – all failed to pass the electoral threshold.