Israel Election: New Poll Shows Netanyahu Leading, but Still Short of Majority

In a poll released Saturday, parties supporting Benjamin Netanyahu for prime minister receive 59 Knesset seats, just two more than the opposing bloc, but still falling short of the 61 needed for a majority

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An election worker organizes ballots during the recent Israeli elections.
An election worker organizes ballots.Credit: Reuters

Israel's Kan public broadcaster released a poll on Saturday giving the parties expected to support opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu for prime minister 59 Knesset seats, two fewer than he needs for a simple majority in the legislature.

The poll gave the parties opposing Netanyahu's bloc, led by Prime Minister Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party, 57 seats.

According to the poll, Netanyahu's Likud party received 32 seats and Yesh Atid party received 25, followed by Defense Minister Benny Gantz's new National Unity and the far-right Religious Zionism, which both garnered 12 seats each. The ultra-Orthodox Shas received eight seats in this poll, trailed by fellow Haredi party United Torah Judaism, with seven seats.

Finance Minister Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beitenu got eight seats, while the left Labor and Meretz parties both were projected to win five seats in this poll; both the United Arab List and Hadash-Ta'al received four Knesset seats.

Ayelet Shaked's Habayit Hayehudi party fell below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold with 2.2 percent of the vote.

The Balad party, which was disqualified this week from running in the elections by the Central Elections Commission and is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court, also fell below the electoral threshold with 1.6 percent of the vote.

The Economic Party and Economic Freedom, two marginal parties, both received 1.4 percent of the total votes each.

The survey was conducted by the Kantar Institute headed by Dodi Hasid, with a sample size of 652 respondents with a margin of error at 4.2 percent.

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