Israel Election: Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Snapping Up 60 Seats, Yamina Falls Short of Threshold

Ayelet Shaked's struggling Yamina party did not make it past the electoral threshold in the latest poll while Meretz, the United Arab List and Labor Party made it just past the post

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Opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu in the Knesset, last month.
Opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu in the Knesset, last month.Credit: Ohad Zwigenberg

The bloc of parties supporting opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu is projected to win 60 of the Knesset's 120 seats in the November 1 election, Channel 13 news said in a poll released Tuesday, while the left wing has receded amid slight strengthening in the centrist parties.

Netanyahu's Likud party is forecast to be the largest party, with 35 seats, identical to what Sunday's Kan poll found. Prime Minister Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid is trailing behind with 24 seats, up from 22 in last week's poll, and the Kahol Lavan-New Hope bloc, headed by Defense Minister Benny Gantz and Justice Minister Gideon Sa'ar, ticked up to 13 from last week's 12.

Left-wing parties Labor and Meretz both lost ground from last week's Channel 13 poll: the former to 4 from 6, and the latter to 4 from 5. Labor leader Merav Michaeli has been stalwart in her opposition to merging the two parties, whereas Meretz chief Zehava Galon has called for unifying in order "to save the bloc," she said last week on Channel 12.

Galon has also told Lapid she won't stand in the way of anything he may need to do to form the next government following his current stint as caretaker premier.

Religious Zionism gained a seat this week from last week's results, while United Torah Judaism and Yisrael Beitenu lost one apiece.

Finally, Ayelet Shaked's struggling Yamina party did not make it past the 3.25 percent electoral threshold in the latest poll.

The poll also found that 40 percent of respondents preferred a government that includes far-right lawmaker Itamar Ben Gvir, while 20 percent preferred one that includes the United Arab List and another 30 percent said neither were preferable.

The survey was conducted on Monday by Prof. Camille Fox among 721 respondents, a representative sample of the Israeli public. The sampling error stood at 3.7 percent.

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