Most Israelis Don't Expect Stable Government After November Election, Poll Shows

According to the Israel Democracy Institute, 52 percent of Israelis believe that the right has a greater chance of forming a stable coalition, as opposed to only 9 percent for the center-left

Samuel Sokol is a freelance journalist based in Jerusalem. He was previously a correspondent at the Jerusalem Post and has reported for the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, the Israel Broadcasting Authority and the Times of Israel. He is the author of Putin’s Hybrid War and the Jews.
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Israel ElectionsCredit: Nir Keidar
Samuel Sokol is a freelance journalist based in Jerusalem. He was previously a correspondent at the Jerusalem Post and has reported for the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, the Israel Broadcasting Authority and the Times of Israel. He is the author of Putin’s Hybrid War and the Jews.
Sam Sokol

A majority of Israelis are in favor of holding new elections, a poll released Tuesday by the Israel Democracy Institute shows, but even more of them don't expect a stable government will be formed after the November vote – Israel's fifth in less than four years.

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Fifty-one percent of respondents said they were satisfied with the decision to hold new elections, even as 57.5 percent "think that there is a low likelihood of a stable government being formed."

The poll also showed a significant difference in how supporters of opposition and coalition parties said they would vote in the upcoming election. While 62.5 percent of Israelis said that they think that they would vote for the same party as the last election, “when we break it down by political affiliation, we find that a very large proportion of those who voted for one of the opposition parties in the previous election, indicate they will vote for the same party again,” the institute stated.

The parties in the coalition with the highest likelihood of voter re-selection are Yesh Atid with 74 percent and Yisrael Beytenu with 71 percent. In contrast, previous voters of coalition parties such as Yamina, former Prime Minsiter Naftali Bennett's party now led by Minister Ayelet Shaked, are unlikely to repeat their vote in the upcoming election with 32.5 percent re-selection, the poll showed.

Four parties in Israel's ruling coalition may not get enough votes in November to ensure parliamentary representation, according to a poll published Sunday by Kan public broadcaster.

Yamina, as well as left-wing Meretz, Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope party and the United Arab List, all receive four seats in the Kan poll, putting them just above the 3.25-percent electoral threshold to ensure they make it to the next Knesset.

Likud, led by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, would remain the largest party in parliament, according to the poll, with 34 out of 120 seats. If Netanyahu manages to bring even one of them over, he could return to the Prime Minister's Office.

According to the Israel Democracy Institute poll, 52 percent of Israelis believe that the political right has a greater chance of forming a stable coalition as opposed to only 9 percent for the center-left. 16 percent believe that neither bloc can do so while 13 percent believe they have an equal likelihood of doing so.

Israeli lawmakers voted to dissolve the Knesset last Thursday, thrusting Foreign Minister Yair Lapid into the role of caretaker prime minister until a new government is formed following the election on November 1.

This came after Bennett and Lapid had announced their intention to disband the Knesset after infighting made their ruling coalition no longer tenable. A year ago, they had ended former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's record reign by forming a rare alliance of nationalists, liberals and Arab parties following a series of inconclusive elections which had left the country in a state of political gridlock and impeded stable governance.

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