Israel Election: After Bennett Quits, His Party May Not Make It to Next Knesset, Poll Shows

A right-wing pro-Netanyahu bloc is projected to reach 59 seats, still short of a Knesset majority, a Kan election poll shows

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People stand in front of an election campaign billboard for the Likud and Yesh Atid parties, in March.
People stand in front of an election campaign billboard for the Likud and Yesh Atid parties, in March.Credit: Oded Balilty /AP

Four parties currently in Israel's ruling coalition are teetering on the brink of the electoral threshold, a poll published Sunday by Kan public broadcaster shows as Israel prepares for its fifth election in less than four years on November 1.

Likud, led by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, would remain the largest party in parliament, according to the poll, with 34 out of 120 seats.

Together with a coalition of right-wing parties who have backed the current opposition leader – far-right Religious Zionism party, projected 10 seats, and ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism, with eight and seven seats, respectively – a Netanyahu-led bloc would have 59 seats, two short of a majority.

Prime Minister Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party would be the Knesset's second-biggest party, with the Kan poll projecting it would get 21 seats. But Lapid may struggle to secure a Knesset majority, with several of his potential allies losing power in the Kan poll.

Yamina, led by Ayelet Shaked after former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett announced he would not seek reelection, as well as left-wing Meretz, Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope party and the United Arab List, all receive four seats in the Kan poll, putting them just above the 3.25-percent electoral threshold to ensure they make it to the next Knesset.

If Netanyahu manages to bring even one of them over, he could return to the Prime Minister's Office.

The poll gives Benny Gantz's Kahol Lavan party eight seats. Two additional parties in the current coalition, Labor and Yisrael Beiteinu, would get five seats each, according to the poll.

The parties making up the current coalition are projected to reach a total of 55 seats, further from a Knesset majority than the pro-Netanyahu bloc.

The Joint List, an Arab-majority three-way alliance that has largely refused to back either blocs, is projected to win six seats.

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