Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party would get 38 out of 120 Knesset seats if Israel held another election, a Channel 13 News poll published on Sunday predicts, giving it two more seats than its current 36, and handing the right-wing bloc a clear parliamentary majority.
Alternate Prime Minister Benny Gantz’s Kahol Lavan party, according to the survey, would drop from the 14 seats it now holds in the Knesset to nine. And Yesh Atid-Telem, which ran with Kahol Lavan in Israel’s three last elections in 2019 and 2020, would get 16 seats, down only one from its current standing.
The Joint List, a four-way alliance of Arab-majority parties, would gain a seat, according to the poll, taking it to 16 Knesset seats.
Right-wing slate Yamina is predicted 11 seats, up from its current six, and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu eight, one seat up from its current seven.
Lieberman, considered kingmaker in the latest election rounds, would no longer have that power as the right-wing bloc of Likud, Yamina and ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism is predicted 64 Knesset seats.
Shas is predicted eight seats – one down from its current nine – and United Torah Judaism seven, as it currently holds.
Left-wing party Meretz, which ran with Labor and Gesher in Israel’s March 2020 election, is predicted seven seats. The three-way alliance received seven seats, three of them manned by Meretz lawmakers.
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The Channel 13 poll predicts both Labor and Gesher would not pass the 3.25-percent electoral threshold and be left out of the Israeli parliament if another election round were held now.