Labor Party Primary Gives Party 2 or 3-seat Bump in the Polls

The party would now win eight seats, according to a poll by Channel 13 News, or 14 seats if it ran on a joint ticket with the left-wing Meretz party

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Labor Party leader Avi Gabbay on primary night.
Labor Party leader Avi Gabbay following the announcement of the results of his party's primary election, February 11, 2019.Credit: Moti Milrod

Monday’s primary, in which the Labor Party put on a new face, has given it a modest bump in the opinion polls. The primary results have handed women three of the top five spots on the party's slate for the Knesset election on April 9,

The results of opinion polling reported on Tuesday by Channel 13 News found that, if the election were held today, Labor would win eight seats – two to three more than it received in earlier polls.

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If the center-left Labor Party ran on a joint ticket with left-wing Meretz, the slate would capture 14 seats, one more than the parties’ combined total running separately. The extra seat would come from Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. If Labor and Meretz don’t run together, Yesh Atid would win 11 seats, up from 10 in the most recent prior poll.

The Channel 13 poll also found that Benny Gantz’s Hosen L’Yisrael party has weakening a bit, receiving 21 seats, down from an average of 22 in previous polls and 24 in Channel 13’s last poll.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party has remained stable at 32 seats. Asked which candidate was best suited to be prime minister, 46 percent of respondents picked Netanyahu while 36 percent chose Gantz. The remaining 18 percent said they didn’t know.

Regardless of whether or not Labor and Meretz unite, the poll showed three parties failing to pass the electoral threshold – Habayit Hayehudi, Orli Levi-Abekasis’ Gesher party and Tzipi Livni’s Hatnuah.

The poll, conducted by Prof. Camil Fuchs, was based on a survey of 769 respondents and has a margin of error of 3.7 percent.

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