Yesh Atid is shaping up to be the second-largest party in the Knesset after the March 23 general election. The most recent opinion polls are giving Yair Lapid’s party 18 Knesset seats, a significant increase from the 12 surveys in December gave the party.
This poses a dilemma for Lapid. If he shifts into higher gear and presents himself as a serious candidate for prime minister, he will likely draw strategic voters from parties more to his left. But if Yesh Atid gets too strong, it may leave Kahol Lavan, Meretz or the Labor Party below the electoral threshold, which will reduce Lapid’s ability to form a coalition.