New Poll: Netanyahu's Likud Down to 20 Seats

The two final polls published before Israel's election predict that Zionist Union will have a four-seat margin over the prime minister's Likud.

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Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the launch of Likud's election campaign, January 5, 2015.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the launch of Likud's election campaign, January 5, 2015.Credit: David Bachar

A Channel 10 poll published on Friday, just three days before next week's Knesset election, has given only 20 seats to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party - the lowest the party has polled since the leadup to the vote.

Conducted by Prof. Camil Fuchs on behalf of the channel, the poll gives 24 seats to the Zionist Union of Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni.

In another poll published Friday evening by Channel 2, Likud got 22 seats, while Zionist Union got 26.

This four-seat gap between the two main parties reflects the results of most of the polls conducted over the past week.

Still the right-wing bloc was ahead of the center-left. In Channel 10's poll, the Arab Joint List got 13 seats, while Yesh Atid and Habayit Hayehudi both polled at 12 seats and Kulanu polled at 10. Shas stayed on seven seats, United Torah Judaism polled at six seats, and Yisrael Beiteinu, Yahad and Meretz all got five seats.

Friday is the last day that polls will be published before Tuesday's election, in keeping with Israeli law. In the past week, Netanyahu and his party have dropped in all the polls, despite a last-minute media blitz by the prime minister.

In a series of interviews to TV and radio channels, newspapers and news websites this week, Netanyahu hammered home the message that voting for the Likud was the only way to avoid a left-wing government in Israel.

"The rule of the right is in danger," Netanyahu wrote on Facebook earlier on Friday.

"Left-wing and media elements in Israel and abroad have conspired to bring [Zionist Union leaders Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni] to power illegitimately, by means of slander at home and unprecedented money from abroad."

The prime minister added that the only way to ensure that the left does not succeed is to "close the gap in the days that remain before the election."

"National camp voters don't have the privilege of voting for other parties. They have to vote Mahal (the acronym used by Likud on the ballot forms.) Victory for the Likud is the best and only answer to the tricks of the left."

In a Yedioth Ahronoth poll, published on Friday morning, Zionist Union had a lead of four seats over Likud – 26 to 22. The Maariv poll showed the same gap but different tallies – Zionist Union with 25 seats against the Likud with 21.

The gap between the two main parties in the poll conducted by the second radio channel was identical to that of Maariv, while Walla! website published a poll in which the gap was only two seats – 25 for Zionist Union against 23 for Likud.

In polls published on Thursday, Globes had Zionist Union leading Likud by 24 seats to 20, while the first radio channel had Zionist Union leading by three seats – 25 to 22.

The final Haaretz poll, published on Thursday, gave 24 seats to Zionist Union and 21 to Likud. They were followed by the Joint list with 13 seats, Yesh Atid with 12 seats, Habayit Hayehudi and Kulanu with 11 seats each, Shas with seven seats, United Torah Judaism and Meretz with six apiece, Yahad with five seats and Yisrael Beiteinu with four seats.

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