Poll: Labor-Hatnuah Even With Likud at 24 Seats Each

If poll holds true, either side would be able to put together a coalition, although the options available to Likud would be greater and potentially more stable.

Jonathan Lis
Jonathan Lis
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Tzipi Livni and Isaac Herzog at the launch of the Labor-Hatnuah joint headquarters, December 24, 2014.
Tzipi Livni and Isaac Herzog at the launch of the Labor-Hatnuah joint headquarters, December 24, 2014.Credit: Moti Milrod
Jonathan Lis
Jonathan Lis

Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni’s joint ticket continues to hold its own with voters, according to an Israel Channel 2 television poll whose results were made public last night, and has a shot of being tapped to form the government after the March 17 election.

The joint Labor Party-Hatnuah ticket would win 24 Knesset seats if the election were held today, the same number the Channel 2 pollsters gave Likud. In that event, either slate would be able to put together a coalition, although the options available to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud would be greater and potentially more stable.

The poll was conducted before the release of a 2008 video in which Rabbi Ovadia Yosef, who died last year, criticized Shas chairman Aryeh Deri. It was unclear how the video would affect the party. According to the Channel 2 poll, Shas would lose five of its 11 Knesset seats and Eli Yishai’s breakaway party, Ha’am Itanu, would not pass the electoral threshold.

Habayit Hayehudi remained in third place, with 16 seats. If the Arab parties were to run on a united ticket, they would win 11 seats. The poll gave Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu party at least 10 seats. Yesh Atid would plummet from its current 19 MKs to just nine. Yisrael Beiteinu, in the midst of a corruption investigation, would win 8 seats. Meretz, one of the parties most negatively affected by the Herzog-Livni pact, would drop from six to five MKs. Kadima would not pass the electoral threshold. The poll of 500 adults was conducted by Midgam Research and Consulting and has a 4.5 percent margin of error.

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