A new poll shows that Likud-Beiteinu would drop to 28 Knesset seats if the election were to be held today. The poll, conducted by the research institute Maagar Mochot and published Friday by Maariv, found that Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party would see a 25% boost, raising it to 24 seats from the 19 it currently holds.
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According to the results of the poll, the Labor Party would drop to 11 Knesset seats, in contrast with the 15 it won in the January 22 election. Habayit Hayehudi would also grow, by one seat, to 13, and so would Shas to a total of 12.
The poll, conducted Thursday, includes responses from 506 participants.
The poll asked respondents whether Tzipi Livni joining Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, and the portfolios her party gained as result, would have an influence on their vote if new a election were held. Eighty percent responded that Livni’s actions would not have an influence, 11% reported that it would have an influence, and they would vote for a more right-wing party, while 9% said it would influence them to vote for a more left-wing party.
The poll also indicated that Shaul Mofaz’s Kadima would not cross the electoral threshold, if election was held today. Meretz would gain one seat, for a total of seven. Livni’s Hatnuah would drop to five seats, while Balad would gain one more, totaling four. United Torah Judism (7), Hadash (4) and United Arab List – Ta’al (4) would all receive the same amount of seats. The poll’s margin of error is 4.5%.
On Thursday, a poll published by the Knesset Channel also shows significant gains for Lapid over Netanyahu in the period since the election. If the election was held today, according to the poll Lapid would win 30 seats, more than Netanyahu's Likud-Yisrael Beiteinu joint ticket, that would receive only 22, nine less than it currently has in the Knesset.
Habayit Hayehudi would gain three more seats, Labor and Shas would drop by two, according to the poll, which was conducted by the Panels research institute, and had 510 respondents. The Panels poll also shows Meretz gaining another seat, while Livni’s party would drop to only four. Otzma Leyisrael would win three, after not crossing the threshold in the actual election, Kadima would hold its two seats. The three Arab parties would win a combined nine seats, two less than what they won.