The October 2012 results of the Israel Democracy Institute and Tel Aviv University’s monthly Peace Index reveal that a clear majority of Jewish Israelis prefer Republican candidate Governor Mitt Romney (57 percent) over incumbent President Barack Obama (22 percent).
The poll - carried out between October 22 and 24, and conducted among a representative sample of 601 respondents with a margin of error of 4.5 percent - shows significant differences in Israeli attitudes towards the American presidential candidates and upcoming Israeli elections.
Support for Romney includes 70 percent of self-defined right-wingers, 54 percent of centrists, and 30 percent of left-wingers. However, a plurality of Arab Israelis prefers Obama (45 percent) over Romney (15 percent).
More than two-thirds of Israeli Jews (69 percent) do not believe that the results of the American November 6 elections will affect the outcome of Israeli elections, while 51 percent of Israeli Arabs believe they will.
Israeli elections turnout may increase dramatically as 90 percent of Jewish Israelis are either certain or believe they will vote. In the last elections in 2009, voter turnout was only 68 percent.
While a majority of Jewish Israelis (52 percent) believe that party ideology should be the deciding factor in casting one's vote, only a minority of Arab Israelis (29 percent) would agree. A majority of Jewish Israelis (53 percent) believe that there was no real opportunity for the current government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to renew negotiations with the Palestinians. While a majority of Arab Israelis (59 percent) believe otherwise.
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