The U.S. war game that predicted the Yom Kippur War
A year after the Six-Day War, U.S. officials enacted a complex role-playing scenario that envisioned the next Arab-Israeli war. As it played itself out, the game anticipated key aspects of the War of Attrition and the Yom Kippur War.
In the spring of 1968, officials and military brass in Washington were engaged in an exercise simulating yet another round of the Israeli-Arab conflict. They assessed that popular pressure, political desperation and military humiliation would drive the Arab states to war even if they lacked faith in their victory, that this time Israel would forgo a preemptive air strike, and that considerations of foreign policy...
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