The natural candidate
Of all the natural candidates, Barak is still the most natural. And in the way of politicians with a sharp sword dangling over their heads, he is relying on time: Maybe the noblemen in the region won't die, and maybe the dogs in the neighborhood will live, bark and even bite.
There's a debate as to whether Labor should join the government; and there's no debate about the fact that Labor's chairman is "an outstanding defense minister" whose services we cannot forgo. This is the man who finally completed the system for intercepting rockets, and protected the home front from a possible chemical attack; this is the man who froze the settlements and removed illegal outposts, and brought law and order to the territories while closing the last breach in the separation fence. And in his free time he didn't stop pursuing peace, in spite of his tendency to get cold feet at the finish line. With Ehud Barak on guard, we can sleep peacefully.
But above all, this is the man who conducted the Gaza war, put an end to the firing of Qassam rockets and Grad missiles, defeated Hamas, restored the deterrent power of the Israel Defense Forces and its honor as the most-moral-army-in-the-world, enhanced Israel's reputation among the nations, strengthened security cooperation with Turkey and the understandings with Egypt and Jordan; and only was unable to free Gilad Shalit - maybe next war. And if the Iranians are incubating an unhatched bomb, let them look for Barak.
It is therefore clear why Benjamin Netanyahu is wooing him as the right minister in the right place, not to mention the time, which is always right. One can't argue with success, and a natural candidate is a natural candidate.
Although not the only one. There are quite a few natural candidates, for whom any relation between their achievements and their advancement is an inverse ratio. These are usually retired generals who, by definition, and mainly by self-definition, are considered gifted people who were born with a lead spoon in their mouths, and are suitable for any mission. Even universities that are looking for a president like them this way - "cast" and decorated.
Shaul Mofaz is, of course, another natural candidate. If he only brings Kadima into the government he will be appointed defense minister; the appointment is in his pocket, and that is the root of his anger. And there are grounds for his demand: Wasn't he the one who in three years confirmed his status as the worst-ever transportation minister? Wasn't it during his tenure that Israel was declared a country dangerous for those flying to and from, like Zimbabwe?
And Moshe (Bogie) Ya'alon, also among the natural candidates, was only lucky, like Mofaz and Barak, that the Second Lebanon War didn't catch him in the war room; and it was Amir Peretz who was clueless among the experts, who was bequeathed an army as naked as strippers in a club. And if, for lack of choice, Bogie is forced to take another ministry, an alternative portfolio is already awaiting him in the Education Ministry. After all, it's well known that the IDF throughout the generations has brought forth outstanding educators - Raful (Rafael Eitan) for example - who at the time saw the Education Ministry beckoning and did not enter it, only because Environmental Protection claimed him for itself, in the hope that he would manage to exterminate drugged roaches.
Of all the natural candidates, Barak is still the most natural. And in the way of politicians with a sharp sword dangling over their heads, he is relying on time: Maybe the noblemen in the region won't die, and maybe the dogs in the neighborhood will live, bark and even bite. And under the cover of terror and panic, it will be possible in a spectacular field maneuver to crawl toward the government and climb into Avigdor Lieberman's lap so as to be rocked.