An Arab revolution fueled by methods of the West
The Arab street suddenly uses 'our' methods: Facebook and Twitter - the tools of democracy we have invented - to present us with a situation of disorder.
By Zvi Bar'elSo what has happened so far? A corrupt president in Tunisia flees, to cheers from around the world. Protests erupt in Egypt, and gloom descends. Protests are held in Iran, and the world cheers. A prime minister is deposed in Lebanon, to fear and dread. An Iraqi president is overthrown in a military offensive, and it's called democracy. Raucous demonstrations take place in Yemen, and they're called interesting but not terribly important.
Why the different reactions? This is supposedly the new Middle East the West always wanted, but something still isn't working out. This isn't the Middle East they dreamed of in the Bush administration, and not what nourished Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's wildest dreams. A new, unexpected player has appeared: the public.
Up to now, the world has been divided into two camps: "complicated" countries where the government represents the public and every decision is subject to public oversight, and "easy" countries where business is conducted at the top and the public is just window dressing. The dividing line between the two has always been starkly clear. Everything north of the Mediterranean belonged to the first group and everything to the south and east to the second.
The north had political parties and trade unions, a left wing and a right wing, important intellectuals, celebrities who shaped public opinion, and of course, there was public opinion itself. In the south the division was simple. It was the distinction between moderates and extremists, meaning pro-Westerners and anti-Westerners.
If you're a Saudi king who buys billions of dollars of American weapons, you're pro-Western and therefore entitled to continue to rule a country without a parliament, one where thieves' hands are amputated and women aren't allowed to drive. If you're an Egyptian president who supports the peace process, you're pro-Western and have permission to continue to impose emergency rule in your country, jail journalists and opposition members, and fix elections.
And what if you're the ruler of Qatar? There's a problem classifying you. On the one hand, Qatar hosts the largest American military base in the Middle East. But it has close relations with Iran and Syria. On the one hand, its ruler promotes democratic values and its foreign minister occasionally meets with top Israeli officials. But it nurtures Al Jazeera.
Of course, we love Al Jazeera when it shows us exclusive pictures of mass demonstrations, discloses secret documents, and is open to interviewing Israeli and Jewish spokespeople. But we hate it because it covers Hamas and Hezbollah's successes. The huge challenge of categorizing Qatar shows that the terms pro-Western and moderate have no connection to the universal values the West seeks to export. They only represent the degree of the fear and the threat posed by the values the anti-Westerners send to the West.
And all of a sudden, into the whirlwind, into the era of certainty and the lexicon in which the region's countries are neatly packaged, the Arab "street" erupts, a sophisticated street. It uses "our" methods: Facebook and Twitter - the tools of democracy we have invented - to present us with a situation of disorder. How do you defend yourself against this? This Arab street has already used these tools to depose Tunisian President Zine El Abedine Ben Ali, and its ideas have gone viral. What if it manages to establish democracy in Egypt? In Yemen? Look what happened to the Shah of Iran, albeit using now-outmoded cassettes.
And when Al Jazeera's cameras come close to the demonstrators, it also becomes clear that these are not religious radicals. Lawyers, journalists, university students, women with their heads uncovered, high school students, the secular and the religious are taking to the streets. They're not shouting "God is great," but "corruption out," "dictator out" and "we want jobs." Such nice slogans make you identify with them. In the words of "The Internationale": "arise ye workers from your slumber." It makes us want to join them until we remember that, as U.S. President Franklin Roosevelt described Nicaraguan dictator Anastasio Somoza, he "may be a son of a bitch, but he's our son of a bitch." It's disrupting the order of things.
We don't have to wait for other regimes to fall to understand that the revolution is happening before our very eyes. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak will not fall due to demonstrations in Cairo's Tahrir Square, and Yemen's ruler will also continue to rule by force. But it's a revolution of awareness and of the fundamental notions of what the Middle East is. Most importantly, we need a revolution in the way the West views the region.
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Well said! Appearances are in fact (!) deceiving. And: No one really could se this one (the development in Egypt) coming. Let´s be honest about that. But then we have to conclude the following: There will be more dramatic surprises in the Middle East. Things that you, today, simply cannot imagine, and that you, today, dismiss as nonsense. The drama in Egypt should be a humbling experience for all of us. We couldn´t foresee the events in Egypt, and that means that we can´t foresee other events in the Middle East.
Well done Zvi - this is the precisely the time we need clear-headed analysis and you've delivered in spades. A big thanks!
And labeling legitimate representatives groups of the people such as Hamas & Hezbollah and the Muslim Brotherhood as terrorist groups when they are no more terrorists than their own nationalist groups who rose to power....... This is the lie on the war on terror no one I know is accepting today and it can't be repackaged either... Dutch
At the beginning Barel, on the second day, Barel seemed to support Barak and Mubarak. Well, the Egyptian public taught us all a lesson: Every nation deserves a decent life. No "public" deserves to live in slavery, subject to "their own" dictators, who owe their allegiance to a BUSH or another. As Aluf Benn warned: We have no friend in the Arab world. And you know who "WE" are - BIBARAK and our leaders who refuse Peace, so they can build more ILLEGAL settlement of the OPTs.
and Israel won't be laughing
"Most importantly, we need a revolution in the way the West views the region." The current consensus in the West is that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the source of unrest in the Arab world. Events in Yemen, Tunisia, Iran, and Egypt disprove this thesis. The west is over-sleeping.
"Now in those days the counsel that Ahithophel gave was as if one consulted the word of God" - 2Samuel 16:23// Ahithophel gave Absalon, the son of King David, an advice that if followed, would have won him the Kingdom of Israel. Hillary gave Hariri the Son advice, which he followed and lost his rule over Lebanon. Hillary's advice was for Lebanon to stick with the International court investigating Hariri Sr.'s murder, and the Son followed it. The least that would have happened was an insurrection by Hizballah or a civil war. Fortunately for everybody, the Druze understood the threat and helped bring down the Hariri government by Kosher parliamentary means. Hillary still doesn't understand diplomacy. It is the art of the possible, lady. If you follow a route that does more damage than good, it is a stupid way of diplomacy. Obama himself needs some Ahithophel for help, not this anti-Ahithophel named Hillary.