Yet another U.S. administration is gearing up for a new season of the Peace Process Show. What's different this time is the unorthodox, unpredictable character of the new lead – President Trump
Daniel Levy is President of the US/Middle East Project
The effects of a Trump administration’s specific brand of pro-Israelism would likely accelerate – perhaps dramatically – two trends already in motion.
As Israel and various Arab states cosy up, anti-normalization looks like ancient history. Can the Palestinians really be sidelined so easily and comprehensively?
Not only is Israel factually and legally in the wrong, it needs Europe much more than vice versa; for the EU, Israel is a problematic ally whose actions too often undermine European interests and drive instability.
Credible leaks indicate the lop-sided Kerry framework is a step backward for Palestinians and rewards Israel’s intransigence. How can the talks regain their legitimacy?
Clumsy Israeli propaganda campaigns won’t obscure the realization in Europe and among Palestinians that the occupation must cease to be cost-free for Israel.
Conjecture abounds as to whether the PM has entered peace talks to do business or to filibuster, but a committed U.S. means testing times in store for Israel's coalition.
With no real case to make, the bullying opponents of the European Union's long-delayed plan to label produce from Israeli settlements in the West Bank are crying anti-Semitism, cheapening the term at a particularly inopportune time.
If Obama begins to grasp the tribal, fluid and divided nature of Israeli politics and how to impact Israeli voters and their leaders (including Yair Lapid, the new leader of the Ashkenazi middle-class tribe), then this visit might be worth something after all.
The message from Israel's recent election: Netanyahu's government will only flip its 'Do Not Disturb' sign if the status quo becomes properly untenable, and that requires Obama's sustained attention, together with other international partners.