It is inconceivable to see a war approaching - and fail to take action. It is inconceivable to understand that the failure of the 2006 war brings the 2007 war closer - and fail to do anything about it.
Ari Shavit is a senior correspondent at Haaretz Newspaper and a member of its editorial board.
For many, Amir Peretz was the great promise of this past political year. However, the tragic mistake of Spring 2006 pales in comparison to the lethal mistake that Peretz may make in Fall 2006.
Failure in war is serious but not terminal - even a fiasco like the Lebanon war can still be turned into the starting point of the rehabilitation.
The members of the Winograd Commission have agreed to put themselves into the unworthy situation of investigators appointed by those who are being investigated, and of being under the aegis of an establishment body that is neither independent nor free of extraneous considerations.
The question of the coming months is not who will replace Olmert, but what will replace him. Netanyahu or Barak, Dichter or Livni, Ayalon or Ya'alon. The question is what kind of political culture will replace the substandard political culture represented by Olmert.
By wintertime the moment of truth will come. If the United States attacks Iran, Israel will be attacked. If the United States does not attack, Israel will be faced with the most serious challenge to its existence since the day of its establishment.
It is highly doubtful that Olmert could even temporarily survive such a police probe considering the present public mood. Chances are that within about two months he will no longer be Israel's prime minister.