As many have pointed out today, Israeli leadership lacks strategic thinking and understanding. The fact that all the leading figures are complete novices did not help. But how do we understand the decision that were made? Think of the present leadership as a bully: 1. A bully is not very bright. Both in Gaza and Lebanon, the thought was to beat the locals so hard that they will produce the prisoners. Of course it couldn't have worked. Both Hamas and Hizballah would have killed the prisoners first in order to maintain the threat for next time. 2. A bully uses force alone. The bully wanted to use the opportunity to dismantle the terror organizations. It didn't work even in much weaker Gaza, to say nothing of Lebanon which is internally divided and would fall into civil war if the government tries to force Hizballah into submission. (A civil war could also be expected in Gaza.) 3. A bully doesn't know of diplomacy. In Gaza, the Hamas government was on the verge of signing on to the Prisoners? Document, a major moderating step, basically accepting the 67 borders. Hard to see that they will proceed with this any time soon. In Lebanon, eliminating Hizballah is possible after peace with Syria. Too much to ask from a bully. 4. A bully doesn?t like to get hurt. Both in Gaza and Lebanon, the IDF is reluctant to re-occupy areas. They send in armored units, hardly ever infantry, because they try to avoid ambushes. In Gaza, armored units go in and out, avoiding IED?s. In Lebanon, Bint Jbeil was evacuated after the battle, why have casualties? Armored units are still in the area, not clear for what reason.
from the article: ANALYSIS: Israel failing to give U.S. the military cards it needs