Yossi, with all due respect you have succeded in giving a flimsy overview of a potential scenario, should the elections been taken place now or in the future. But, though you might have written "an academic article" whose cogency is not apparent, what you have missed is the underlining reason for the feelings of the electorate: The majority don't want the politics to return to the HEGEMONY of one particular, though in minority now, ethnocultural that Begin smashed its perenial governing streak. The vast majority of Sepharads-Mizrahis, without the religious preference, would be warry to give back the governing mantle to Labour-Kadima-Meretz, which is basecaly the old mapai party that had the hegemony in the politics for many years. Of all the analysis, bringing back Barak to the government is and will be a disaster for any Labour led coalition, as he is a failed pm; with his latest unverified sources of his millions. Verter has written an Article that has no connection with reality on the ground; like any academician he has not consulted the patient while issueing prognostics. Bravo.
Police disperse hundreds in brawl in Kafr Manda, northern Israel (Haaretz)
from the article: Bloc heads