In 1905, the Swedish intelligence where "100% sure" that a Norwegian referendum about independence would result in a yes to stay with Sweden. Then the people voted like 2 miljon for independence and 3-400 hundred(!) to stay in union with Sweden. That might have been the least competent prediciton in modern time...
Turkey's FM: Saudi Arabia to deploy warplanes to Turkish base for fight against ISIS (DPA)
from the article: The Egyptian masses won't play ally to Israel