However, I don't see the U.S. ever completely abandoning Israel. A nonviolent popular movement by the Palestinians will increase American public support for the Palestinian cause, much as the first intifada did. However, even during the first intifada, the U.S. government stood pretty solidly behind Israel. It's possible the U.S. may play a less active part in supporting Israel (i.e. "benign neglect"), but I don't see the U.S. ever actively demanding much of Israel. In the event the Palestinians can again organize themselves for such a popular movement, it will more likely be the rest of the international community that will force Israel's hand, with the U.S. more or less allowing it.
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from the article: Why America is irrelevant to Middle East peacemaking