Absent the shoah, there would have been more Jews living under the mandate when the British evacuated, not fewer. The dejure recognition of the State was fine, but it was its defacto victory in '48 that ensured its continued existence. That victory would have been more likely absent the Shoah, not less. In other words, no Shoah, the state has 3-4 million Jews at its inception, instead of 800,000. Israel is stronger with its murdered brethren, and still wins in '48.
Obama to meet with Jordan's King Abdullah in White House later this month (Reuters)
from the article: It's wrong to suggest Israel was direct result of Holocaust