The pollster assumed that if a voter is not enthusiastic about his bloc of preferred parties, it couldn't be that the voter is fully dedicated to voting for that bloc. That assumption is wrong. I myself have never been enthusiastic about any of the rightwing parties, but I've always voted rightwing. That's because I'm downright opposed to the platforms of the Left. In general the poll is problematic because, presumably, all the other polls ask the right proportion of those who didn't vote in 2009, and yet the results do not suggest anything close to a voter surprise. If anything, it will be very interesting to see how Bayit Yehudi does, given it's meteoric climb in the polls together with Bennett's solid performance under pressure. For these 2 reasons (reserved but unbreakable commitment to the Right + the results of all the recent polls combined), there will be no appreciable shift left next Tuesday.
4 UN peacekeepers injured in Sinai and taken to hospital in south Israel (Haaretz)