The next war... - Comment - Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper
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    • Victor
    • 26.10.10 | 17:27 (IST)

    Evern if the next war involved hostilities only betweem Israel and Lebanon\Hezbollah there is still a virtual guanantee that Israel will be damaged in a manner unlike what it has experienced in its existence. In 2006 Israel lost on the ground (nothing new there, they loose consistently to Hezbollah) but inflicted billions in infrastructure damage. This forced Lebanon to concentrate on a retaliatory response to any future conflict and it would appear Hezbollah has done exactly that. Hence in the next war, the first in the fully matured Rocket Era, Israel will suffer major damage to its main cities. We shall then see how confident in businesses(and foreign investors) holds up in Israel's Silicon Valley. Expect capital flight as just one post-conflict consequence. But the next war very likely won't be merely between Israel and Lebanon, Syria and Iran are likely to be involved directly and that simply increases the incoming payload, the damage of which will be very significant indeed. Israel's days of operational impunity are coming to a close. It has taken a long time but the neighbours are catching up. 2006 was supposed to be an effort to stop it, the result was that it merely accelerated the process. And as Israel simply cannot get past Hezbollah the situation on the ground is unchanged, at best another bloddy nose for Israel but I would expect that Israel is in from even more tramatic experiences the next time they attempt to roll in. Time to play nice Israel ... well if there was any sanity in Israel leadership that what one might expect, but of course there isn't!

    from the article: 'Syria helped Hezbollah amass some 40,000 missiles'
    First published 13:32 26.10.10 | Last updated 13:32 26.10.10
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