"A separation" was not only nominated for best foreign film, but also for best original screenplay which is unusual for a foreign film. It also has sky high ratings on IMDB, rottentomatoes and other movie review sites. This does not guarantee an oscar, but it looks like the Iranian film is the odds on favorite.
Egypt says verdict in Al-Jazeera case expected Saturday (AP)
from the article: Israeli film 'Footnote' nominated for Oscar award