For the past decade, I have been writing about the trends in the future of American Jewry in various articles and, sadly, these trends have become realities. The trends are happening before our eyes and are confirmed by this recent study of NY Jews---- With more and more assimilation among the non-Orthodox, the trend is not difficult to predict of American Jews: more and more Orthodox Jews since they retain most of their children, have a high birth rate, and low intermarriage/assimilation rate; fewer and fewer Reform and Conservative Jews since there is a low birth rate among their members and a high assimilation/intermarriage rate which leads in most cases to less affiliation with Judaism among most of the children born from the intermarriage who choose not to identify with Judaism at all, and there will be a de facto merger between Reform and Conservative Judaism since there are few theological differences between the two movements and decreasing membership in these movements; and more and more unaffiliated Jews who have no connection to , or interest in, Judaism or Israel and these unaffiliated Jews will become known as '' Americans with Jewish heritage''. The non-Orthodox American Jews are shrinking drastically and will continue to shrink. The '' assimilation genie '' is out of the bottle and cannot be put back into the bottle despite the latest Jewish community's program which, in good-faith, try to do so.
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from the article: Study: Orthodox community boosts New York City's Jewish population