Obviously you don't know his personality. He can seem very tough and decided but you can really reason with Erdogan. In many cases, after carefully reviewing his position, he changed his views completely despite the risk of alienating his own people. This is not a backwards middle eastern leader as you think, he is far more progressive than most can imagine.
Egypt says verdict in Al-Jazeera case expected Saturday (AP)
from the article: Gaza crisis highlights Netanyahu's failure to reconcile with Turkey