Without Mubarak Israel's hold over the US may perish when the Americans would conclude that Palestine in pre-1967 borders is a price they'll have to pay in re-winning Egypt (including recognizing and bringing in the process Hamas). But even that might not be really nescessary for the US to do. Whoever will rule Egypt has no OIL wealth, decades long economic stagnation, tens of millions of angry young people who want jobs, money, marriage, dignity, in short a decent future. Any future ruler(s) will need economic developement and growth above all else, Egypt needs support in this, access to foreign markets, investments knowledge, co-operation and so on. For an Israeli, it's a strange thing to say that US power in the ME will diminish without Mubarak. Is Israel not supposed to be the strongest and most powerfull US ally & asset in the ME, maintaining US power simply by it's military (deterrent) capabilities? Mubarak or no Mubarak? There also still are the Saudi's who just want Iran to back off above all and need the US (and/or Israel) badly for that. Egypt propably will try to put the US for the block and push it to choose between Egypt/Arabia as prime ally (and thus security in controlling OIL flow) and Israel as prime ally. The US on it's turn may bounce back by putting Egypt for the block and make it choose between the US or Iran (becoming ever more powerfull in the Arab world). Only if desperation becomes so great in future in Egypt that religion is the only comfort & known ground left for the people, will the US be in real trouble, for then it might side with Iran in it's war on Israel & US power over ME OIL flow. For now, without Mubarak, only Israel's power is substantially diminished. No Cast Lead II, no new Lebanon war, but a low profile while closely watching the wooing of the US towards a post-Mubarak Egypt.
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IDF: Shots fired at troops operating near Gaza border, no injuries or damage sustained (Haaretz)
from the article: Without Mubarak, U.S. power in Mideast will diminish