Neither diplomacy nor MAD will dissuade Iran from using nuclear weapons. That RAND thinks so indicates this study is worthless. Mutually Assured Destruction may not apply to Iran. The assumption is that the Iranian mullahs think as we do, presumably with reason and objectivity and would be restrained by rational considerations re survival. The mullahs await the return of their Hidden Mahdi to end the world in blood and fire. There are those in Iran’s leadership who believe that Apocalypse would move things along. In other words, MAD may not inform and contain events. Iran may not be motivated by the usual rational considerations of state, but by an apocalyptic end-of-world theology. There is data to support this interpretation. This RAND document is delusional.
from the article: Top U.S. think tank warns against Israeli, American strike on Iran