Mr. Zuckerman, Perhaps Ms. Livni suffers from the condition you suggest. Or, just maybe, she knows how to count. The number of atom bombs held by is Israel is a secret. But the estimates by expert analysts range from a from 100 to 500, with 300 number I've seen most often. And, in one of Dr. Chompski's grim tomes, if I recall correctly, Israel has had a two stage missile, capable of carrying multi-ton pay load anywhere in Europe (hence anywhere from Rabat to Islamabad) since the 70's. Even if the mullahs had Hizbollah hand carry the bomb to T-V., every Persian city would be ash and dust by sundown. Perhaps your question should be are the Persians dumb? Averaged over the last 3K years, the school solution is "no". I'll bet you $10, even money, that Israel "unofficially denies" that it has an H bomb before Iran has it 2nd A bomb. When it comes to the physics and engineering of "nukes", it doesn't pay to bet against the Ashkanzi (e.g. Teller, Ulam, Sacheov).
Suspect Bangkok bomber arrested, found with possible bomb-making materials (Reuters)
from the article: Livni behind closed doors: Iran nukes pose little threat to Israel