There are two main reasons why elections are likely in 2012 (one year earlier than scheduled): 1. Netanyahu would prefer that Israeli elections be held before the US elections. An Obama victory inevitably will help the peace camp and hurt Likud, since Obama seems to dislike Netanyahu (for good reason, incidentally). 2. Lieberman is likely to be indicted in 2-3 months. He will then have to resign as Foreign Minister, and said he will resign as head of his party within 6 months after that. It will be beneficial for Lieberman to bring down the government and lead his party in the election campaign before he is forgotten./ Two more good reasons for near elections: 3. Lieberman and the Zionist Religious (3 seats) said they will quit the coalition if Migron and other outposts are evacuated, as the Supreme Court ordered to be done by March 31st. Elections will make such threats irrelevant. 4. The Quartet will be putting the blame on Netanyahu for dragging out the peace process. Before the elections he cannot give an inch to the Palestinians (against Likud hardliners), but after the elections he will feel safe.
21-year-old killed by IDF near Jerusalem, Palestinian authorities say (Haaretz)
from the article: Likud primaries see low voter turnout, with only 14% by mid-day
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