Here's my take; (condensed version) '48 - Oslo, Israel was fighting to convince the Palestinians that they were not going to go away. Oslo was Palestinian surrender where they accepted the 78/22% land division. When the occupation did not end and the settlements continued to expand recourse was resistance. Both sides have groups whos goals will not be met with peace. I agree with you that Hamas calling for a ceasefire while looking the other way at third party behaviour is transparent. But Israel has never halted the state finance of settlement expansion. The Gaza evacuation and the route of the wall seem to indicate that Israel has finally come to the same mind set that Palestinians did at Oslo - they are not going to get everything they want. What is going on now is posturing for final negotiations. Read Marwans posts in this blog about the creation of a new centrist Palestinian party. I am not as pesimistic as you about the results of a referendum. Cheers.
Bennett, Deri expected to resign from Knesset, remain in cabinet under new 'Norwegian Law’ (Haaretz)
from the article: PM willing to start dialogue with Saudis, join regional summit