If an attack seems unlikely, that increases the chance that the attack will be unexpected and therefore increases the likelihood that an attack will be carried out. But since both the political establishments and the intelligence services of Israel and Iran know this, nothing can be concluded with any confidence. That's what I reckon, anyway. Sorry.
Jordan foreign minister says to speak with Kerry on Israel-Palestinian conflict (Reuters)
from the article: Israeli elections likely to postpone any deliberations on Iran strike
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