ISIS presence on social media platform was previously estimated at 46,000 accounts.02:03 06.02.16 | 0 comments
Two points. Here's the first: Let's imagine a two-by-two matrix. On the X Axis we have the level of Iranian sincerity on curtailing their nuclear weapon's program (low on left, high on right). On the Y Axis we have our belief in their sincerity (low on bottom, high on top). Only the top-right produces peace, the rest inevitable war. Of course, the worse case is that we're fooled by false sincerity (left upper). But because we are strong we can still prevail. Ultimately this will backfire with the Iranians because they will be devastated by a war that they started. If there is no trust by either side (left-lower, combining the hard-liners in all countries) be prepared for war very soon, both sides to blame. If they are sincere but we show no trust, not only will there be war, but relations will sour for a much longer period. And we risk our credibility in that part of the region, "bully" would be too weak a word. Now to my second point. Prime Minister Netanyahu declared a red-line last year. Does he have a green-line now? Is it a reasonable one? How far does his enemy have to retreat before he believes he has what he wants? This is a man whose upbringing and life events resulted in his being untrusting and paranoid. I know little about Rouhani, but I can see that while our friends in Israel can feel more "protected" with Bibi as leader, the reality is that Bibi's attitudes are more likely to produce war. I pray that our world leaders make the right decisions.