I find that many do not understand the difference between a "capability," 'probability," and a "possibility." A 'capability" is what an opponent is actually capable of accomplishing. A "possibility," is what an opponent MIGHT wish to do. A "probability" is how likely that said opponent will actually do that which it can, or that which it might possibly do. Iran clearly does not have the capability of using nuclear weapon. Because it does not have that capability, then the probability it will attack anyone in the next year is clearly impossible, and therefore there is NO possibility of Iran using nuclear weapons. What about the future? Right now there is NO evidence of an Iranian - or Syrian - nuclear weapons program. Thus we are left with NO capability. Then we must assess the 'possibility' and 'probabilities." A nation which lacks the ability to produce, is a nation without "possibility,": and if there is no possibility, then there is no probability.
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Germany to help Tunisia, Jordan buy armored vehicles for fight against ISIS (Reuters)
from the article: IDF lifts censorship of Sept. 6 IAF strike on target inside Syria