Expectations from the new elections and new party - Comment - Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper
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    • Tosefta
    • 28.07.07 | 19:02 (IDT)

    If there are new elections in the near future, it was already announced that they will not be partly based on constituencies, but will be nation-wide elections for party lists (as in Israel). This, in fact, is a necessity because Hamas can prevent elections in Gaza. But under the new system they may simply lose a great number of votes and will be reduced considerably. (Never mind the legitimacy of such results.) Perhaps Hamas will consider that it is better for them to run. (Less likely.) Suppose the Third Way party is really new, and does not include many Fatah people. The elections may then present a danger both to Fatah and to Hamas. On this they can act together. They can convene the Parliament, and simply vote down the election decree and on this happy occasion also not give confidence to the Fayad govenment. The government will then need to be replaced too. (Note that at present, not under State of Emergency, all of Abbas' decrees can be nullified by the Parliament.) From the consideration just described, my expectation is that there will be no elections or that the New party will look a lot like the old Fatah, with some new top faces. It will be less appealing than one might hope. From the Israeli experience one learns that the expected election system will cause the fragmentation of large parties and the creation of a number of smaller parties. It will be harder to govern. It may still be worthwhile for Abbas to go thru this until there is a peace deal with Israel. (But I don't believe Israel is ready for peace, so Abbas is going to be ultimately disappointed.)

    from the article: Associates of PM Fayad planning alternative to Fatah and Hamas
    First published 00:00 27.07.07 | Last updated 00:00 27.07.07
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