There are two main reasons why elections are likely in 2012: 1. Netanyahu would prefer that Israeli elections are held before the US elections. An Obama victory inevitably will help the peace camp and hurt Likud, since Obama seems to dislike Netanyahu (for good reason, incidentally). 2. Lieberman is likely to be indicted in 2-3 months. He will then have to resign as Foreign Ministry, and said he will resign as head of his party within 6 months after that. It will be beneficial for Lieberman to bring down the government and lead his party in the election campaign before he is forgotten./ Two more good reasons for near elections: 3. Lieberman and the Zionist Religious (3 seats) said they will quit the coalition if Migron and other outposts are evacuated, as the Supreme Court ordered to be done by March 31st. Elections will take care of such threats. 4. The Quartet will be putting the blame on Netanyahu for dragging out the peace process. Before the elections he cannot give an inch to the Palestinians (against Likud hardliners), but after the elections he will be safe.
Turkish police fire tear gas as clashes break out during May Day protest in Istanbul (Reuters)
from the article: Netanyahu poised to win Likud primaries despite far-right challenge
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