When ever someone tries to give me the "rouge state" scenario to justify our very limited ballistic missile defense system I point out that to deliver a W-54 Special Atomic Demolition Munition to Washington D.C. would cost under 100 dollars U.S. and arrive on time, on target by 10:00 a.m. EST guaranteed or your money back. The Patriot PAC II and Arrow can stop a SCUD attack. With A Shahab-3 attack, the chances of either to intercept is questionable, but once again, the uncertainty factor would leave no certainty the Shahab would not be destroyed. Iran has some examples of the Raduga Kh-55 (NATO designation AS-15 Kent) which could also be used for delivery. The chances of a successful attack are questionable, depending upon many factors. One thing is certain. If Iran attacks Israel with nuclear weapons Iran will suffer an intense reply. An attack might be thwarted by the Patriot or Arrow systems Israel has only enhances the deterrent effect of Israel's retaliatory capability.
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from the article: An alibi for the Arrow