The mistrust is understandable. Ayalon is fronting in the US for Israel. He has this hair-splitting idea about occupations that are not occupations because of some split hair. And the current Israeli government has a habit of springing nasty surprises on the US. As for the cakewalk scenario, the US has been there and done that. Iraq was sold to us as casualty-free, paying for itself and over in days, weeks at most. Eight years and 65,000 casualties later, it is just ending.
Palestinian man suffers light wounds from rocks thrown by Jewish men in Jerusalem (Haaretz)