If Israel does bomb Iran first Oil will jump to $200++, then if Iran strikes back and the Strait of Hormuz closes for any period of time we will shoot towards $400++...the world economy will crash with global political fallout. That is why a strike is very unlikely, the military dimensions are dwarfed by the economic consequences there is too little debate about that currently.
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Mortar shell fired from Gaza at IDF force operating by the border, no injuries reported (Haaretz)
from the article: Insanity, not logic, guides Israel's leadership